CELC Forecast


Bullish Case: CELC's pipeline candidate, gedatolisib, shows promising Phase 3 results. Stifel maintains a target of $40. CELC's Breakthrough Therapy designation and undervalued status suggest potential for growth, supported by strong cash position. Recent price rise of 84.5% in a year indicates positive momentum. [investing.com][Helium][seekingalpha.com][setenews.com]


Bearish Case: Insider selling by director Richard Buller signals potential lack of confidence. High volatility indices and Helium’s forecast being higher than market imply risk. Historical mean reversion and current small trading volumes provide uncertain future returns. [seekingalpha.com][uk.investing.com][investing.com][Helium][Helium]


Potential Outcomes:

1. Phase 3 trial success: 50%—Significant price surge.

2. Trial delay/failure: 30%—Sharp price drop.

3. Continued market volatility: 20%—Price fluctuation without clear trend.


Trading Oracle: Given high volatility and potential bullish case, favor long volatility debit spreads. Buy $20 C 12/20/24 ($2.15); Sell $25 C 12/20/24 ($1.25). Low cost, favorable risk/reward. Timeframe: 1-4 months. Expected profit hinges on upcoming trial results and market sentiment stabilization.


July 17, 2024


Celcuity Forecast

CELC      Celcuity











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ONEW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONEW  Onewater Marine (-0.01)


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UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)


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