CERE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: CERE's strong neuroscience pipeline, validated by recent acquisition, positions it well for growth. Historical price mean-reversion and current price uptrend (+1.72%) hint at further gains.


Bearish Case: High put volume and significant insider selling indicate skepticism about future prospects. Mean-reverting patterns and potential acquisition delays could result in price drop.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Acquisition completes, stock +15% (70%).

2) Regulatory delay, -10% (20%).

3) Pipeline setbacks, -20% (10%).


Trading Oracle: Leverage short-volatility spreads (credit spreads). Sell 1 $42.50 C, and buy 4 $45.00 C expiring August 16, 2024. Elevated implied vol & put volume support this strategy. High edge, 97% profit probability.


July 23, 2024


Cerevel Therapeutics Forecast

CERE      Cerevel Therapeutics











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CERE



DHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHI  D.R. Horton (0.86)


KEY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEY  Keycorp (0.85)


NAIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NAIL  Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (0.84)


EWBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWBC  East West Bancorp (0.83)


CYTK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYTK  Cytokinetics (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CERE



MAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAG  MAG Silver (0.0)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (-0.0)


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTS  Zoetis (-0.0)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (-0.0)


SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CERE



SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.74)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.74)


HNRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HNRG  Hallador Energy (-0.74)


BOIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOIL  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.76)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.77)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with CERE


 Ask any question about CERE!