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NAIL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Historical resilience and backwardated term structure suggest potential swift surges amid market stabilization, offering upside as economic indicators improve.

Bearish Case: High short-term volatility and significant recent price decline signal potential downside risks amid economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates, which could dampen growth.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Sideways (40%): Market mean reversion trends.

2. Bullish (30%): Recovering housing data boosts value.

3. Bearish (30%): Continued pressure from economic uncertainties and high interest rates.

April 10, 2025

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