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CIBR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Increased cybersecurity concerns boost demand, leading to upward pressure on CIBR. Implied volatility remains low, suggesting potential recovery and an attractive buying opportunity amid declining market volatility.



Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility indicates market uncertainty. Unfavorable macroeconomic conditions and potential external shocks could negatively impact CIBR's price trajectory, reinforcing bearish sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth in cybersecurity spending (30%)
  • Market volatility leading to price retraction (40%)
  • Stable prices with minor fluctuations (30%)



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish long volatility strategy by buying $67.00 calls and selling $69.00 calls, focusing on a 30-day horizon. Anticipate high volatility as CIBR trends upward, aiming for strong reward-to-risk outcomes. Market odds favor a 45% profit chance with a 400% potential return.


December 18, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity Forecast

CIBR        First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity

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Assets that tend to move strongly with CIBR


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FOUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOUR  Shift4 Payments (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CIBR


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.0)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (-0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.01)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CIBR


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.71)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (-0.74)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.76)







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