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CMG Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Despite recent declines, Chipotle's expansion strategy and technological investments in digital platforms position it for potential recovery if consumer trends shift favorably.



Bearish Case: High volatility and recent price declines, combined with insider activity and concerns about cost pressures, suggest a challenging path forward for CMG, potentially impacting margins negatively.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance: Continued decline due to cost pressures and competitive market.
  • 30% chance: Stabilization as digital sales offset declines.
  • 20% chance: Rebound driven by strong expansion and innovation.


April 22, 2025


Chipotle Mexican Grill Forecast

CMG        Chipotle Mexican Grill

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