CNI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The Helium Uncertainty graph shows lower market implied volatility for CNI compared to broader market trends, indicating potential price stabilization and upside. Strategic investments and EV supply chain integration support further growth.




Bearish Case: Operational risks, including recent labor issues and signal union strikes, increase downside potential. High historical implied volatility suggests continued market uncertainty, affecting potential future performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • CNI gains 15% from EV supply integration and strategic growth: 50%
  • Operational setbacks and market uncertainty cause a 10% decline: 30%
  • Flat, stable performance amid fluctuating conditions: 20%




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: buy the $110 call, sell the $115 call expiring in 25 days. Helium model shows high edge at this volatility level. High reward/risk, with a ISUPPORT_POS edge and 81% profitability odds. Suitable for capturing upside while managing risk.



January 28, 2025


Canadian National Railway Forecast

CNI        Canadian National Railway











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Assets that tend to move strongly with CNI



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XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.94)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.94)


HDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HDSN  Hudson Technologies (0.94)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CNI



FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (-0.0)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.0)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.0)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.01)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CNI



ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATGE  Adtalem Global Education (-0.89)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.9)


TPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPB  Turning Point Brands (-0.9)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.9)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (-0.91)









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