COHR Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Strong demand in AI and EV sectors boosts revenues for COHR, with analysts anticipating a recovery in earnings as indicated by rising call option volumes and implied volatility. This scenario is supported by a temporary dip followed by upward price movement.




Bearish Case: Continued high debt levels and unresolved legal challenges could impede COHR’s growth, coupled with significant market fluctuations that increase uncertainty, suggesting potential corrections in the stock price as implied volatility remains elevated.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Strong earnings recovery (50%): Driven by AI and EV demand.
  • Legal resolution impacts sentiment (30%): Positive resolution may boost prices.
  • Market correction due to macroeconomic factors (20%): Heightened volatility and market skepticism leading to price dips.




Trading Oracle: Consider leveraging a bullish put credit spread: Sell 1 $93.00 put and buy 2 $85.00 puts with an expiration of ~23 days. This strategy targets the current implied volatility skew, offering an 83% probability of profit and a return potential of 22%. Focus on a bullish stance as market dynamics favor upward movement in COHR's price over the medium term.



November 29, 2024


Coherent Forecast

COHR        Coherent











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