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COLL Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: COLL might rebound following recent FDA approvals and buyback announcements. Current volatility suggests potential price movement, with earnings surprises likely driving gains. Strong revenue growth signals confidence from investors.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates significant market uncertainty. Upcoming regulatory scrutiny and revenue miss risks could lead to downward price pressure. Recent trends show that the stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful product launch (40%);

2. Regulatory headwinds (30%);

3. Further buybacks (50%);

4. Disappointing earnings (20%);

5. Acquisition rumor (15%). Probabilities derived from trend analysis and recent market responses.

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November 12, 2024

Collegium Pharmaceutical Forecast

COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with COLL

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ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.65)

TRV Travelers Companies (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COLL

LKQ LKQ (0.0)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.0)

BBAI BigBear.ai (0.01)

GILD Gilead Sciences (0.01)

MGPI MGP Ingredients (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COLL

TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software (-0.5)

INDI Indie Semiconductor (-0.51)

FLNG Flex Lng (-0.52)

BIIB Biogen (-0.53)

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.64)

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