COLL Forecast


Bullish Case: An accelerated share repurchase program and strong revenue growth demonstrate commitment to shareholder value. CEO executive compensation tied to performance aligns management’s interests with shareholders.


Bearish Case: COLL’s recent 48% decline despite strong revenue growth reflects significant market skepticism. High implied volatility suggests persistent uncertainty and risks in near term performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued buybacks (70%),

2. Merger/acquisition (50%),

3. Regulatory actions (30%),

4. Revenue miss (20%). Estimates from current initiatives, M&A trends, regulatory impacts, past performance.


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June 19, 2024


Collegium Pharmaceutical Forecast

COLL      Collegium Pharmaceutical











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