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MA Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Mastercard's strong historical returns and institutional support continue to underpin a bullish outlook. The lower implied volatility for distant expirations suggests steady confidence.



Bearish Case: The current backwardation in implied volatility and the high P/B ratio raise concerns about near-term overvaluation and price corrections amid growing stablecoin competition.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth with solid fundamentals: 60%
  • Price correction from overvaluation: 25%
  • Volatility spike due to market conditions: 15%


June 20, 2025


Mastercard Incorporated Forecast

MA        Mastercard Incorporated

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