COMP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The implied volatility surface suggests market anticipation of price movement, possibly due to strategic initiatives and favorable macro trends.




Bearish Case: Backwardation and high volatility hint at potential instability, with market skepticism and competitive pressures possibly leading to declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Strategic success and market growth: 50% probability.
  • Regulation and competition challenges: 30% probability.
  • Stagnation with external uncertainties: 20% probability.



May 08, 2025


Compass Forecast

COMP        Compass











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COMP



PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.94)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (0.91)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.87)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.86)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COMP



ETNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETNB  89bio (-0.0)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (0.01)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.02)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (-0.02)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COMP



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.85)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.87)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.88)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (-0.89)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.92)









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