LC Forecast


Bullish Case: Mean reversion combined with a mean-reverting environment and high short-term call volume makes a bullish case probable for short-term bounces.


Bearish Case: Historical declines, competitive pressures, and current bearish sentiment hint at potential downside, especially under the flat implied volatility surface.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued price stability (60%).

2) Short-term rally due to short squeeze (20%).

3) Further declines amid competitive market pressures (20%).


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July 16, 2024


LendingClub Forecast

LC      LendingClub











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LC



TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (0.83)


IWN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWN  iShares Russell 2000 Value (0.83)


RMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMD  Resmed (0.83)


WCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WCC  Wesco International (0.82)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LC



SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.0)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (0.0)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.0)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (-0.0)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LC



REK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REK  ProShares Short Real Estate (-0.69)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.7)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


HNRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HNRG  Hallador Energy (-0.7)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.72)





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