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CORN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CORN is poised for recovery driven by recent increased demand for biofuels and improved weather conditions, leading to higher prices due to supply constraints.



Bearish Case: Persistent oversupply and regulatory uncertainties, coupled with weak demand, likely keep CORN prices under pressure, potentially resulting in further declines.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Bullish price rebound to $20 (30%) from increased biofuel demand.

2. Price stabilization around $18 (40%) amidst balanced supply and demand.

3. Bearish drop to $16 (30%) if oversupply persists amid weak demand.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying the $18.00 call and selling the $19.00 call with November expiry. This captures upside potential while managing risk efficiently. Given high implied volatility, favor long volatility strategies to capitalize on expected price movements.


November 15, 2024


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CORN        Teucrium Corn

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BIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIDU  Baidu (0.82)


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CORN


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (0.01)


VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (-0.01)


SBUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBUX  Starbucks (-0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.02)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CORN


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JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.83)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.85)


ISRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ISRG  Intuitive Surgical (-0.85)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.88)







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