CORN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recent improvements in biofuel demand and promising agronomical advancements suggest potential upside. Low implied volatility indicates undervalued opportunities.




Bearish Case: High supply levels and flat price activity suggest prolonged periods of stability or decline. Regulatory risks and weak demand contribute to downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion possible (40%), sideways drift likely (35%), potential decline (25%) due to market complacency and oversupply.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying the $20.00 call and selling the $21.00 call expiring in August. This targets mean reversion potential with high reward-to-risk, leveraging implied volatility's differential against market complacency.



February 13, 2025


Teucrium Corn Forecast

CORN        Teucrium Corn











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NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (0.83)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.79)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.79)


USAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAC  USA Compression (0.79)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CORN



DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (0.0)


XPEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPEL  Reg S (0.0)


OWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OWL  Blue Owl (-0.01)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.01)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CORN



ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.74)


EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (-0.76)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.77)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.78)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.8)









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