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CORN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CORN prices could rise as market uncertainty decreases, driven by improved demand for biofuels and favorable weather patterns. An increase in the implied volatility suggests potential price spikes ahead.



Bearish Case: Continued oversupply and regulatory concerns regarding GM corn could hinder price growth. High trading volumes in puts indicate significant bearish sentiment, contributing to potential downward pressure.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 20% chance of a 10% price increase due to increased ethanol demand.
  • 30% chance of steady prices around $18 amid stabilizing supply-demand factors.
  • 50% chance of a drop to $16 due to regulatory constraints and oversupply.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by purchasing the $19.00 call and selling the $20.00 call, targeting relatively low implied volatility while leveraging the potential for a price rebound. This setup combines a favorable risk/reward profile with market sentiment favoring bullish trades.


December 10, 2024


Teucrium Corn Forecast

CORN        Teucrium Corn

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CORN


WEAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEAT  Teucrium Wheat (0.86)


CAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAR  Avis Budget (0.83)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.81)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (0.81)


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CORN


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.0)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (-0.0)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (-0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CORN


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.8)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (-0.81)


ISRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ISRG  Intuitive Surgical (-0.82)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.82)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.86)







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