CPA Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong travel demand and upcoming events could boost CPA's visibility and earnings. Historical returns suggest a likelihood of moderate gains over long-term holding periods.


Bearish Case: Increased competition, currency headwinds, and economic downturns could adversely impact Copa’s profitability. Current price trends show negative performance over short to mid-term.


Potential Outcomes: Positive travel demand scenarios (60%), unfavorable economic influence (30%), and significant downturns due to unforeseen events (10%).


Trading Oracle: Trade a bearish short volatility strategy. Sell 1 $95 call, buy 2 $100 calls expiring in ~17 days. Positive edge with 83% profit probability and leveraging market and Helium model alignment. Hedge potential adverse outcomes with limited risk.


July 03, 2024


Copa Forecast

CPA      Copa











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CPA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.06)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CPA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.06)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CPA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.06)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)





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