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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The recent drop in implied volatility and positive market sentiment suggest that Capri can experience a rebound following strategic announcements, particularly around brand integration and potential cost synergies from the blocked Tapestry merger.



Bearish Case: Persistent market skepticism following the merger block, along with high implied volatility, indicates continued downside risk. Historical mean-reverting behavior coupled with low trading volumes might suggest further price stability issues for CPRI.



Potential Outcomes:

1. CPRI shares rebound sharply as merger rumors resurface (40%);

2. Market skepticism persists, leading to prolonged volatility (35%);

3. Gradual recovery through positive brand performance (25%).



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November 12, 2024











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