CRWD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Despite a recent outage, CRWD remains a leader in cybersecurity with strong technological backing and institutional investment. Recovery efforts may enhance their reputation in the long run, with potential for significant upside as the cybersecurity market continues to grow.


Bearish Case: The recent outage has severely damaged CRWD's reputation and could lead to customer attrition and reduced growth forecasts. Increased competition could capitalize on this vulnerability, posing risks to profit margins and market share.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Full recovery and brand restoration (40%);

2. Long-term reputational damage, affecting growth (30%);

3. Increased competition leads to market share loss (20%);

4. Regulatory scrutiny and potential fines (10%).


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish strategy with long call debit spreads, targeting options with high implied volatility. Consider buying $265 calls while selling $270 calls, ideally expiring within 30 days, leveraging the anticipated recovery momentum post-outage. High risk-adjusted returns expected.


July 25, 2024


Crowdstrike Forecast

CRWD      Crowdstrike











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