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CUK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CUK's implied volatility indicates bullish sentiment, supported by strong booking trends. Potential debt reduction and strategic cost management could enhance profitability.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility in CUK options indicates market uncertainty. Rising operational costs and ongoing legal issues threaten profitability and investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued high demand maintains revenue growth (40%).

2. Rising costs and high debt pressure margins (35%).

3. Legal challenges affect reputation (15%).

4. Economic downturn curtails spending (10%).

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January 09, 2025

Carnival Forecast

CUK Carnival

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CUK

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.75)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.73)

COHR Coherent (0.73)

ATGE Adtalem Global Education (0.72)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CUK

SU Suncor Energy (0.0)

URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.0)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.0)

PYCR Paycor HCM (0.01)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUK

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.66)

RILY B. Riley Financial (-0.67)

BRKR Bruker (-0.67)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.71)

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