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CUK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Carnival's recent earnings beat and new credit facility suggest improved financial stability. Increased bookings indicate strong recovery potential, reinforcing optimistic market sentiment.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates uncertainty, with potential inflation and debt burdens stalling recovery efforts. Recent violent incidents and high debt could erode consumer confidence.

Potential Outcomes: Continued demand boosts revenue (45%).
Debt and costs hinder profitability (30%).
Unforeseen disruptions impact cruising (15%).
Economic downturn affects spending (10%).

June 20, 2025

Carnival Forecast

CUK Carnival

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

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INTC Intel (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUK

CNC Centene (-0.64)

TTE TotalEnergies SE (-0.64)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.66)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.68)

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