Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: CURI's recent profitability and share buybacks, coupled with potential positive content partnerships, could significantly drive subscriber growth, enhancing investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: Continued insider selling and broader market pressures on small caps could deter investor confidence, leading to downward price pressure in the short term.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive content/partnership news: 25%.

2. Continued insider selling: 35%.

3. New subscriber growth trends: 20%.

4. Broader market downturns impacting small caps: 20%.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy using a debit spread by buying longer-dated CURI 2.50 calls and selling 5.00 calls to capitalize on high implied volatility. With a focus on a 3-6 month timeframe, this approach captures potential upside from positive news while managing risk effectively. Adjust positions based on market sentiment about subscriber growth.

November 19, 2024