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DBI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DBI's strategic shifts towards in-house brands and digital platforms may revitalize sales. Potential positive earnings surprises could lead to quick gains, capitalizing on current low market expectations and high option call volume.

Bearish Case: DBI faces significant retail headwinds, high implied volatility, and a weak price return history. Persistent market competition and low consumer confidence could lead to further price declines, exacerbated by recent underperformance.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of strategic success driving 15% rise.

50% chance of status quo leading to 5% fall.

20% probability of further 10% decline due to retail pressures.

March 30, 2025

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DBI Designer Brands

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DBI

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.93)

GES Guess (0.93)

DOW Dow (0.91)

SRG Seritage Growth Properties (0.89)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DBI

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.0)

PHM PulteGroup (0.0)

CWH Camping World (0.01)

VTRS Viatris (0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DBI

EAT Brinker International (-0.88)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.89)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.9)

PPC Pilgrim's Pride (-0.9)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.92)

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