DLTR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DLTR's recovery efforts and product diversification may drive growth, supported by consumer demand for budget options and strategic leadership enhancements.




Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory challenges, theft issues, and economic uncertainties, combined with low trading volumes, suggest potential downside pressure on DLTR.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance regulatory relief boosts performance.
  • 30% chance operational improvements bolster gains.
  • 40% risk of prolonged challenges and competition affecting price.




Trading Oracle: Opt for a bullish credit spread: sell the 60-day $70 puts and buy the $68 puts. This leverages low short-term implied volatility, capturing premium with a 70% probability of profit, leveraging current favorable sentiment.



January 11, 2025


Dollar Tree Forecast

DLTR        Dollar Tree











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DLTR



APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.92)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (0.91)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.91)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.91)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DLTR



GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.0)


ACB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACB  Aurora Cannabis (0.01)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.02)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DLTR



KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.91)


CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.92)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.92)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.92)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.93)









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