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DLTR Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Selling Family Dollar focuses on core growth, reducing operational drag. Forward-looking strategic maneuvers align with expanding customer reach through multi-price items, presenting potential upside.



Bearish Case: High trading volume of put options suggests bearish sentiment persists. The sale of Family Dollar at a massive loss highlights ongoing operational challenges and financial strain, risking continued price decline.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Core business revitalization boosts growth (40%)
  • Further regulatory and operational challenges cause declines (35%)
  • Market stabilization sees neutral performance (25%)


April 10, 2025


Dollar Tree Forecast

DLTR        Dollar Tree

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DLTR


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (0.87)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.82)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.81)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.77)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DLTR


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.0)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.0)


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.0)


ACAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACAD  Acadia Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DLTR


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.76)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.76)


SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (-0.77)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (-0.79)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (-0.79)







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