DLTR Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: DLTR's strategic product expansions and increased prices may attract a diverse customer base, enhancing revenue. Historical price returns suggest potential recovery as consumer interest in budget retailers rises amid economic pressures.




Bearish Case: Persistent operational challenges, including OSHA fines and declining customer spending, threaten profitability. Strong market competition could further squeeze margins, leading to continued stock price decline in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of improved earnings driven by pricing strategy changes.

2. 30% risk of further regulatory scrutiny harming operations.

3. 20% likelihood of increased market share with successful customer engagement initiatives.




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bearish credit spread by selling $69 call options and buying $72 calls, targeting high volatility days. This utilizes Helium's predictive edge indicating bearish sentiment with a strong potential profit return of 18% in a declining price environment.



October 20, 2024


Dollar Tree Forecast

DLTR        Dollar Tree











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DLTR



PAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAX  Patria Investments Ltd (0.94)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.94)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.94)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.93)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DLTR



  FERG   (-0.0)


BE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BE  Bloom Energy (0.0)


RBLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RBLX  Roblox Corporation - (0.0)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.0)


UNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNG  United States Commodity Funds (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DLTR



FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.83)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (-0.84)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.85)


OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.85)


LNTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNTH  Lantheus (-0.85)









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