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ECC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ECC's stable distribution amid market volatility can attract yield-seeking investors, enhancing upside potential.

Bearish Case: ECC's price is weighed by economic challenges affecting CLO distributions, as indicated by the negative trend in historical returns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable returns (50%): Continued investor interest in yield (Helium).

2. Return growth (30%): CLO investments outperform.

3. Declines (20%): Macro challenges increase impacts Helium.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish credit put spread, expiring in 3 months. Target slightly below current price to profit from potential declines or stability. Leverage low volatility environment for favorable risk/reward.

January 17, 2025

Eagle Point Credit Forecast

ECC Eagle Point Credit

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ECC

NEP NextEra Energy (0.91)

ASML New York Shares (0.85)

DVN Devon Energy (0.85)

BYND Beyond Meat (0.84)

CNI Canadian National Railway (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ECC

DOMO Domo (-0.0)

FREY FREYR Battery (-0.01)

SU Suncor Energy (-0.01)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

ACGL Arch (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ECC

TPG TPG (-0.84)

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (-0.84)

ADP Automatic Data Processing (-0.84)

CBRE CBRE (-0.85)

NOW ServiceNow (-0.86)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.