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Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: CNI is positioned to benefit from recovering freight volumes and pent-up demand following recent labor disputes. Positive market sentiment and strong operational metrics could drive a rebound in stock price over the coming months.

Bearish Case: Heightened operational risks, including potential future strikes and ongoing labor disputes, could lead to significant disruptions in freight services, negatively impacting revenues and investor sentiment, resulting in reduced stock performance.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful resolution of labor disputes leading to higher freight volumes (40%).

2. Prolonged labor issues resulting in significant disruptions (30%).

3. Increased shipping demand from economic recovery, boosting revenues (20%).

4. External economic shocks causing reduced demand (10%).

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September 21, 2024