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ESS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Demand in tech-heavy regions may boost rental and property values, with options indicating positive market sentiment.

Bearish Case: Interest rate increases and regulatory risks could pressure valuations in tech-concentrated real estate markets.

Potential Outcomes: 40% stabilization, 30% rate hikes impact, 20% tech growth boosts demand, 10% regulatory impacts.

Trading Oracle: Utilize debit spreads, targeting 1-2 month expirations, focusing on $280-$300 strikes to leverage low volatility and potential short-term upward movement. This strategy balances risk and reward effectively.

February 01, 2025

Essex Property Trust Forecast

ESS Essex Property Trust

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESS

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XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.92)

SO Southern (0.91)

TT Trane (0.89)

RGLD Royal Gold (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESS

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.0)

NET Cloudflare (0.0)

WHR Whirlpool (0.01)

GL Globe Life (-0.01)

XYL Xylem (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESS

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.83)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.85)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.91)

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