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EXEL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Strong potential for upside driven by positive FDA announcements regarding Cabometyx, elevated institutional support, and improvements in health outcomes for patients, indicating higher sales projections in 2025.



Bearish Case: Risks from expired patents allowing generic competition, ongoing insider trading investigations, and potential earnings misses could strain investor confidence and lead to a notable stock decline.



Potential Outcomes:

1. FDA approval for Cabometyx (60% probability).

2. Market share loss to generics (30% probability).

3. Positive earnings report leading to stock surge (40% probability).

4. Continued insider trading scrutiny leading to discounts (20% probability).



Trading Oracle: Implement a long call spread strategy by buying the 35.00 call and selling the 36.00 call, capturing favorable market volatility. This setup balances defined risk against an expected positive price swing as catalysts unfold, given the Helium volatility curve. Target investment returns of approximately 120% as earning reports approach.


November 20, 2024


Exelixis Forecast

EXEL        Exelixis

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

9 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

20 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

49 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EXEL


VNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNO  Vornado Realty (0.9)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.84)


ACM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACM  AECOM (0.84)


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.84)


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXEL


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (-0.0)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.01)


ALGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGT  Allegiant Travel (-0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXEL


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.75)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.75)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.77)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.78)


NAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NAT  Nordic American Tankers (-0.78)







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