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FCX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Increased copper demand from the green energy transition supports FCX. The mean-reverting price nature may enhance return potential amid stable market conditions.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical risks and potential supply increases could pressure copper prices. High operational costs further challenge FCX's profitability, possibly weighing on stock prices.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% chance of stable copper demand fueling moderate price gains.
  • 30% potential for economic downturn impacting prices negatively.
  • 10% chance geopolitical tensions disrupt operations.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying the $40 call and selling the $45 call expiring in June 2025. This setup exploits expected gradual copper price increases with a positive risk-reward ratio and a 70% probability of profit. Given current implied volatilities, adjust positions dynamically as market conditions evolve.


February 13, 2025


Freeport-McMoRan Forecast

FCX        Freeport-McMoRan

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Assets that tend to move strongly with FCX


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XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.75)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.73)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.72)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FCX


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (-0.0)


MIR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIR  Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.0)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.0)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (0.0)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FCX


BKSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKSY  BlackSky Technology (-0.63)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (-0.65)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.66)


JAKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JAKK  Jakks Pacific (-0.68)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.7)







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