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FFWM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Institutional backing and strategic shifts could drive recovery, with AI price forecasts at +1.1% showing potential upside given historical returns' positive likelihood at certain holding periods.

Bearish Case: High debt levels and negative social sentiment suggest further challenges, with recent declines indicating persistent market skepticism, reinforced by high implied volatility and put-option volume.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Institutional influence boosts share price (40%).

2. Debt issues lead to further declines (30%).

3. Stabilization due to mixed market sentiment (30%).

June 17, 2025

First Foundation Forecast

FFWM First Foundation

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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CMC Commercial Metals (0.84)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FFWM

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (0.0)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.01)

VOD Vodafone (-0.01)

SNY Sanofi (0.01)

RACE Ferrari (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FFWM

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.67)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (-0.7)

GFI Gold Fields (-0.71)

FNV Franco-Nevada (-0.72)

OKTA Okta (-0.73)

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