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AI FFWM Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: FFWM’s recent capital raise strengthens its balance sheet, reducing multifamily exposure and enhancing its growth strategy, which could attract institutional investors, potentially leading to significant price recovery.

Bearish Case: FFWM's ongoing challenges with high debt exposure and recent downtrends could exacerbate investor concerns, especially if economic conditions worsen, resulting in further stock price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Recovery due to successful strategy overhaul (40%).

2. Further decline amidst economic headwinds affecting commercial real estate (30%).

3. Stabilization in stock price as investor sentiment improves (30%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying the FFWM 10/18/2024 Call at $0.50 and selling the 12.50 Call at $0.90 to leverage potential upside from strategic changes. Focus on mitigating risk as volatility is expected to decrease.

August 20, 2024


First Foundation Forecast

FFWM      First Foundation

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ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.83)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.83)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.82)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FFWM


NTES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTES  NetEase (-0.0)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (0.0)


HP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HP  Helmerich & Payne (0.0)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.0)


EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FFWM


AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.63)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.65)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.65)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.67)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.68)



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