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FLNG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FLNG's strong long-term charters ensure stable cash flows, and rising global demand for LNG may drive prices higher, supported by increasing investor confidence due to recent market optimism and positive implied volatility trends.



Bearish Case: Overcapacity in the LNG market and stagnant price action could pressure FLNG's operational stability, leading to potential declines in revenue and investor sentiment, especially if global economic conditions deteriorate further.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Increased global LNG demand: 35%
  2. Oversupply leading to lower rates: 30%
  3. Insider growth initiatives succeeding: 20%
  4. Market volatility impacting investor sentiment: 10%
  5. Geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains: 5%



Trading Oracle: Given current data, consider a bullish debit spread: buy 1 $27 call and sell 1 $28 call. This leverages rising implied volatility, presenting an ~81% chance of profit with favorable risk/reward dynamics. This aligns with stable cash flows and positive market sentiment.


November 23, 2024


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FLNG        Flex Lng

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BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.81)


APTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APTV  Aptiv (0.76)


WEAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEAT  Teucrium Wheat (0.75)


RIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIO  Rio Tinto (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FLNG


CLOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLOU  Global X Funds - Global X Cloud Computing (0.0)


SCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCS  Steelcase (-0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.0)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FLNG


RNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RNR  RenaissanceRe (-0.73)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.74)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.75)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.75)


SGMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGMO  Sangamo Therapeutics (-0.76)







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