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AI FOA Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: FOA's recent recovery trajectory, highlighted by operational consolidation and adaptation to modern markets, suggests strong growth potential. Positive announcements may further uplift investor sentiment and drive prices upward.

Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, FOA faces ongoing challenges such as high implied volatility and risks of delisting, which may hinder sustainable growth. Weak competitive positioning in the reverse mortgage sector could also suppress future performance.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful integration of HMBS 2.0: 30%.

2. Severe operational challenges from layoffs: 25%.

3. Improvement in reverse mortgage market share: 20%.

4. NYSE delisting threat persists: 15%.

5. Unforeseen disruptions in the market: 10%.

Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread using FOA 10/18/2024 10.00 C options to capitalize on high implied volatility. Target short-term price recovery with a max loss capped around $1.65 per contract, offering a solid risk-reward ratio as news flows stabilize sentiment.

September 04, 2024


Finance of America Companies Forecast

FOA      Finance of America Companies

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Assets that tend to move strongly with FOA


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (0.87)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (0.87)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (0.82)


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NYCB  New York Community Bancorp (0.81)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOA


BR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BR  Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.0)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.0)


CIVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIVI  Civitas Resources Inc New (0.0)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.0)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOA


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.78)


CRWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRWD  Crowdstrike (-0.78)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.8)


AVGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVGO  Broadcom (-0.81)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.82)


FOA News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.



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