FOSL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Efforts in tech wearables and potential e-commerce growth offer avenues for recovery, driven by nostalgia and luxury appeal.




Bearish Case: Persistent decline in demand for traditional wearables, regulatory pressures, and brand association with fossils suggest further downturn.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Tech pivot success (25%) drives growth.
  • Continued brand decline (60%) impacts profits.
  • Stabilization with strategic moves (15%) occurs.




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January 31, 2025


Fossil Forecast

FOSL        Fossil











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FOSL



WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.87)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.83)


GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (0.83)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.81)


WIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WIX  Wix.com (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOSL



AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.0)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.01)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (-0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOSL



BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.73)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.74)


IQV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IQV  IQVIA (-0.74)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.74)


DNUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNUT  Krispy Kreme (-0.75)









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