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FOSL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Fossil's strategic pivot to smartwatches and wearables, combined with nostalgia-driven demand for traditional watches, might drive revenue growth and market share increase.

Bearish Case: Persistent declines in market share due to strong competition from tech giants and sustainability trends cast doubt on a profitable future.

Potential Outcomes: 60% further price decline, 25% stabilization through niche innovations, 15% rebound with strategic pivots.

May 01, 2025

Fossil Forecast

FOSL Fossil

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FOSL

AMZN Amazon.com (0.75)

SPYG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.73)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.72)

HIMX Himax (0.72)

MRVL Marvell Technology (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOSL

INTU Intuit (-0.0)

KLAC KLA (0.0)

ADC Agree Realty (-0.01)

AMC AMC Entertainment (-0.01)

EA Electronic Arts (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOSL

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.52)

VSAT Viasat (-0.52)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.53)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.55)

XP XP (-0.62)

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