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FOSL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Fossil's strategic pivot to tech wearables and improved design may capture market share from higher consumer spending post-pandemic.

Bearish Case: Fossil faces strong headwinds from declining market share, intense competition, and sustainability trends, suggesting continued decline.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strategic pivot to wearables boosts revenue (30%).

2. Continued decline due to competition (50%).

3. Stabilization through new partnerships (20%).

April 01, 2025

Fossil Forecast

FOSL Fossil

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

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CRK Comstock Resources (0.8)

WIX Wix.com (0.8)

IVW BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (0.79)

HIMX Himax (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOSL

FE Firstenergy (0.0)

DELL Dell (0.0)

VOYA Voya Financial (0.0)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.0)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOSL

BC Brunswick (-0.72)

GIS General Mills (-0.73)

PEP Pepsico (-0.75)

ABEV Ambev (-0.76)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.77)

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