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FOX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FOX's strategic growth in streaming and podcasting positions it well amidst rising consumer demand for digital media, potentially driving stock appreciation.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and high volatility could erode investor confidence, with streaming competition and negative publicity impacting FOX's financial health.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of moderate growth from Tubi and podcast expansion, 40% chance of flat performance due to market condition, 15% risk of a downturn from legal or competitive issues.

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit call spread: buy the $55 call and sell the $60 call expiring October 2025. This leverages moderate implied volatility and Tubi's user growth, targeting a profit by fall with upside potential.

February 22, 2025

Fox Corporation - Forecast

FOX Fox Corporation -

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VIRT Virtu Financial (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOX

LEN Lennar (0.02)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.03)

TS Tenaris S.A. (-0.03)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOX

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.94)

CNI Canadian National Railway (-0.94)

LEA Lear (-0.95)

COTY Coty (-0.96)

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