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FRO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FRO's recent options market shows elevated call volumes and strong bullish sentiment, supported by a decrease in implied volatility over the next months. Market conditions suggest potential recovery in freight rates amidst increasing global trade demand.



Bearish Case: Rising geopolitical tensions and fluctuating oil prices pose significant risks to FRO. High put option volumes hint at market apprehension, coinciding with historical volatility trends that suggest possible downturns in the near term.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 30%: Stabilization in oil prices leads to increased freight demand.


2. 25%: Continued geopolitical instability disrupts shipping routes.


3. 20%: Volatile oil prices hinder FRO's ability to recover profit margins.


4. 15%: Regulatory shifts towards sustainability increase operational costs.


5. 10%: A major shipping crisis reduces market rates.



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November 15, 2024


Frontline Forecast

FRO        Frontline

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FRO


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.91)


DHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHT  DHT (0.87)


INSW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSW  International Seaways (0.86)


VECO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VECO  Veeco Instruments (0.84)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FRO


RGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGR  Sturm, Ruger & Co. (-0.0)


APAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APAM  Artisan Partners Asset (-0.0)


CVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVI  CVR Energy (0.0)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (-0.0)


SBSW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBSW  Sibanye Stillwater (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FRO


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.72)


ROKU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROKU  Roku (-0.74)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (-0.76)


VLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLY  Valley National Bancorp (-0.76)


FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (-0.8)







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