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LCTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LCTX's regenerative medicine has promising clinical milestones, driving optimism despite mixed historical returns and high volatility Helium.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility, past price drop, and risky biotech sector weigh against LCTX, with historical trends showing possible negative outcomes Helium.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Clinical trial success (40%): boosts price.

2. Regulatory setbacks (30%): hinders growth.

3. Biotech sector sentiment shift (30%): affects valuation.

Trading Oracle: Focus on short-term bullish debit spreads within 3-6 months. High implied volatility indicates potential upward movement, leveraging clinical trial optimism and sector momentum. Manage risk by monitoring upcoming announcements closely.

December 28, 2024

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LCTX

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LCTX

ONON On (-0.81)

BSX Boston Scientific (-0.82)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.82)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.83)

GWRE Guidewire Software (-0.83)

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