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FSLY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Fastly's potential return to profitability and recent strategic initiatives in edge computing can drive a recovery in stock prices, appealing to investors focused on tech growth.

Bearish Case: Persistent high debt levels and slowing revenue growth can deter investors, leading to continued price declines amid intense competition and volatile market conditions.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Profitability Achieved: 40%.
2. Continued Revenue Decline: 50%.
3. Successful Product Launches: 30%.
Fearful of high competition, growth struggles could maintain downward pressure on price.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish long call spread, buying June $12.50 calls and selling $15 calls. This exploits anticipated volatility reduction post-earnings, aligning with potential immediate gains. High implied volatilities favor spreads to manage risk and maximize reward.

February 01, 2025

Fastly Forecast

FSLY Fastly

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FSLY

FRSH Freshworks (0.89)

CRNC Cerence (0.87)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.86)

PATH UiPath (0.84)

YELP Yelp (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FSLY

SSRM SSR Mining (-0.0)

TRV Travelers Companies (-0.0)

MIR Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.01)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)

SHAK Shake Shack (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FSLY

FE Firstenergy (-0.75)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (-0.75)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.77)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (-0.77)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.82)

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