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FSLY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Improvements in EBITDA profitability boost investor sentiment, potentially lifting the share price in line with strong demand for edge computing solutions. High implied volatility suggests an upcoming positive price movement.



Bearish Case: High levels of debt and persistent insider selling could undermine confidence, leading to further declines in share prices. Increasing volatility may exacerbate negative sentiment among investors.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance of EBITDA profitability achieved, driving shares up.
  • 25% chance that high debt levels hinder price recovery.
  • 20% chance of successful customer acquisition through flat-rate pricing.
  • 20% chance insider selling leads to further declines.



Trading Oracle: Given FSLY's recent volatility and a bullish outlook, implement a bullish debit spread. Buy calls at $8.00 and sell at $9.00 with expiration in two weeks to leverage implied volatility spikes efficiently while limiting risk. Target a 30% return with high probability of profit based on recent market activity.


November 28, 2024


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FSLY        Fastly

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FSLY


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (0.93)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (0.91)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.91)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.9)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FSLY


MAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAR  Marriott International (0.01)


SBAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBAC  SBA Communications (-0.01)


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (-0.01)


EWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWY  iShares MSCI South Korea (0.01)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FSLY


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.82)


CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (-0.82)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRB  H&R Block (-0.82)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.83)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.84)







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