FTC Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Potential regulatory easing and strong historical returns support a bullish outlook, with anticipated earnings growth driving investor confidence.




Bearish Case: Increased scrutiny and competitive pressures could lead to price stagnation or declines, dampening market sentiment surrounding FTC.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Regulatory easing enhances bullish momentum (30%)
  • Negative earnings surprise dampens sentiment (25%)
  • Broader market downturn affects FTC (20%)
  • Technological advancements provide competitive edge (15%)
  • Heightened scrutiny slows growth (10%)




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish call spread targeting strikes between $140-$145. Given high implied volatility and the current price of $146.37, this allows capturing potential upside with limited risk. Expiry in 30-60 days leverages anticipated movements while capitalizing on volatility.



November 24, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Large Capital Growth AlphaDEX Forecast

FTC        First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Large Capital Growth AlphaDEX











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SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.97)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.97)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FTC



HPK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HPK  HighPeak Energy (0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.01)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (0.01)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FTC



JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.84)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.84)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.96)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)









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