FXY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FXY is poised to benefit as implied volatility surfaces suggest potential short-term upward movement, supported by a slight bullish skew and stronger call option volume.




Bearish Case: Persistent depreciation, coupled with lower implied volatility compared to market expectations, supports a bearish outlook, exacerbated by historical downtrend patterns.




Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of range-bound trading; 40% chance of slight appreciation; 25% chance of renewed depreciation amidst macroeconomic uncertainties.




Trading Oracle: Leverage Bullish Long Volatility due to positive call volume and implied volatility skew. Buy $62.0 calls, sell $63.0 calls for optimized risk-reward.



March 23, 2025


Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Forecast

FXY        Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FXY



AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.68)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.64)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.63)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.62)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FXY



GCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GCO  Genesco (0.0)


PPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPG  PPG Industries (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.0)


BEKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEKE  KE (-0.01)


HUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUN  Huntsman (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FXY



INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.52)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.53)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.54)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (-0.56)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.63)









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