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GASS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: GASS may experience renewed demand from a potential global energy crisis, combined with operational improvements that drive EPS growth. Positive sentiment around increased LNG adoption could further support higher prices.



Bearish Case: High debt levels and ongoing market volatility present substantial risks. If GASS fails to meet earnings expectations or if geopolitical tensions escalate, price stagnation or further declines may ensue.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat forecast (15%)
2. High debt constrains growth, leading to price stagnation (40%)
3. Global energy crisis boosts demand (25%)
4. Market recovery post-volatility (20%)



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a debit spread strategy by buying GASS 7.50C for December 2024 and selling GASS 10.00C. This leverages current implied volatility while managing risk efficiently. Target a 25% profit by early December, monitoring for volatility adjustments as market conditions change.


November 15, 2024


StealthGas Forecast

GASS        StealthGas

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GASS


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (0.63)


ACLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACLS  Axcelis (0.6)


MLCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLCO  Melco Resorts & Entertainment (0.59)


SOXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOXX  BTC iShares PHLX Semicond (0.59)


GOOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOS  Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GASS


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.0)


SPGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPGI  S&P Global (0.0)


RGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGR  Sturm, Ruger & Co. (0.0)


BXMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXMT  Blackstone Mortgage (0.0)


CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GASS


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (-0.53)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (-0.54)


HNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HNST  Honest Company Inc (The ) (-0.62)


ACM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACM  AECOM (-0.63)


XPO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPO  XPO Logistics (-0.65)







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