GBR Forecast


Bullish Case: GBR's innovative approach in renewable energy could capture market interests, leading to a potential rally. Historical holding returns suggest potential for effective momentum over short-term periods.




Bearish Case: Long-term poor performance of GBR, as evidenced by ongoing mean reversion and historical declines, raises concerns about its capacity to sustain recent price increases amidst market uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Regulatory Change: 50% chance; could either bolster or burden GBR.
  2. Renewable Breakthrough: 30% probability; may significantly enhance GBR appeal.
  3. Market Volatility: 20% likelihood; could deter short-term confidence.



March 25, 2025


New Concept Energy Forecast

GBR        New Concept Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GBR



ASC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASC  Ardmore Shipping (0.74)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (0.67)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.65)


AMAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMAT  Applied Materials (0.62)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GBR



NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (-0.0)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.01)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.01)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.01)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GBR



V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.67)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.68)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.69)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.72)


DRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRI  Darden Restaurants (-0.74)









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