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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: General Dynamics may thrive from increased defense spending and strong contract wins post-election, driving stock price higher with improving fundamentals.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical risks and potential budget cuts could weigh on GD's performance, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on stock prices as investor sentiment shifts.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 30% probability of positive earnings beats driven by new contracts.

2) 25% chance of volatility spikes due to political instability.

3) 20% likelihood of market corrections from defense spending cuts.

4) 15% chance of continued upward price momentum from strategic partnerships.

5) 10% chance of disappointing quarterly results due to supply chain constraints.



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November 12, 2024


General Dynamics Forecast

GD        General Dynamics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GD


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (0.94)


PRMW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRMW  Primo Water (0.94)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.93)


EME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EME  Emcor Group (0.93)


JCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JCI  Registered Shares (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GD


LEU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEU  Centrus Energy (-0.0)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (-0.0)


AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.0)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (0.0)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GD


METC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   METC  Ramaco Resources (-0.85)


ETSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETSY  Etsy (-0.85)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.86)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.86)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)







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