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GDXJ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: GDXJ may see support due to high trading volume (98th percentile) and positive sentiment metrics, suggesting potential upside if gold strengthens. Current flattening volatility indicates reduced market risk.



Bearish Case: Despite bullish indicators, ongoing economic pressures and high implied volatility may trigger significant downturns, especially if gold prices decline or if geopolitical issues arise.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 55% chance GDXJ trades rangebound;

2) 30% chance GDXJ drops if gold miners sell off;

3) 15% chance GDXJ rallies if gold gains momentum.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short put spread by selling 1 $46.00 put and buying 2 $44.00 puts, leveraging the 68% probability of profit and capitalizing on time decay. Align this with a short-term bullish sentiment and low implied volatility conditions for maximal impact.


November 14, 2024


VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners Forecast

GDXJ        VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GDXJ


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.99)


SILJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SILJ  ETF Managers Group LLC - ETFMG Prime Junior Silver Miners (0.99)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.98)


SIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIL  Global X Funds - Global X Silver Miners (0.98)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GDXJ


ABT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABT  Abbott Laboratories (0.0)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (0.0)


VEEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VEEV  Veeva Systems (0.0)


CP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CP  Canadian Pacific Railway (-0.0)


TTEK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTEK  Tetra Tech (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GDXJ


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (-0.9)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.9)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.91)







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