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GEM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Emerging market recovery and diversification could enhance GEM's potential. Moderate implied volatility suggests stability with room for upward movement driven by strategic asset allocation.

Bearish Case: High historical volatility and geopolitical risks may lead to negative sentiment in emerging markets. Elevated implied volatility in options indicates caution, highlighting potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Stable (50%): Minor fluctuations due to mean reversion.
Slight increase (30%): Potential boost from favorable economic data.
Decline (20%): Geopolitical tensions might trigger a downturn.

May 11, 2025

Goldman Sachs ETF Trust - Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity Forecast

GEM Goldman Sachs ETF Trust - Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GEM

UBER Uber (0.66)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (0.65)

MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (0.63)

JNUG Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.59)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.55)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEM

M Macy's (-0.0)

UWM ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (-0.0)

HST Host Hotels & Resorts (0.0)

COLD Americold Realty (-0.01)

BA Boeing (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEM

UNH Unitedhealth (-0.22)

CAL Caleres (-0.25)

FDX Fedex (-0.25)

CLW Clearwater Paper (-0.25)

JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.27)

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