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GGAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: GGAL's robust historical growth and increased call option volume indicate potential bullish trends. The confidence in Argentina's economic reforms and the bank's strategic shifts further bolster this outlook.



Bearish Case: Market uncertainties with high implied volatility and Argentina's economic instability present significant downside risks for GGAL, notably if inflationary pressures persist.



Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of upward momentum due to strategic shifts and historical growth, 30% potential for stabilization with macroeconomic improvements, 20% risk of decline from economic shocks.



Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility is optimal given the high call options volume, manageable volatility spread, and anticipation of economic stabilization, with a 12% return and defined risk enhancers.


April 23, 2025


Grupo Financiero Galicia Forecast

GGAL        Grupo Financiero Galicia

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GGAL


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.98)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (0.98)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.93)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (0.91)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GGAL


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.01)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.02)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GGAL


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.84)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.85)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.86)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.86)


NKTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKTX  Nkarta (-0.86)







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