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GRMN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Garmin's innovation and strong sales growth amid stable volatility suggest continued upward momentum. Forward-looking product releases are poised to drive demand.

Bearish Case: Increased competition and persistent security concerns could undermine Garmin's market share and consumer confidence, leading to potential price pressure.

Potential Outcomes: 65% sales growth from innovation, 30% market share loss due to competition, 5% stable growth amid broader market neutrality.

Trading Oracle: Initiate bullish debit spreads targeting around $210 with expiration in April. Leverage current backwardation and stable volatility for a strong risk-to-reward ratio. Focus on long-term growth with strategic positioning for post-Q1 boosts.

January 17, 2025

Garmin Forecast

GRMN Garmin

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GRMN

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BB BlackBerry (-0.01)

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TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.02)

SKYT SkyWater Technology (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GRMN

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IEP Icahn (-0.87)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.87)

XRX Xerox (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

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