GRPN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: GRPN has shown strong price growth over the past year (155.9%) and robust call option trading volume. Helium forecasts higher risk for bullish scenarios, strengthening the potential for further price increases.


Bearish Case: Significant historical price declines and a relatively high implied volatility beyond the near term suggest potential further downturns. High volatility and substantial historical downturn risk highlight a cautious outlook.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued price growth (40%): Stabilized growth metrics and bullish AI forecast.

2) Flat performance (30%): High volatility balance market moves.

3) Significant decline (30%): Historical downtrend returning with severe implied volatility impacts.


Trading Oracle: Trade bearish long volatility using Helium's recommendations expiring ~32 days. Buy $13.0 puts and sell $12.0 puts for a positive adjusted edge of 4:1 return. This aligns with Helium's forecasted high market volatility and risk, optimizing for returns with a market-expected edge.


July 16, 2024










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Assets that tend to move strongly with GRPN



VRTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRTX  Vertex Pharmaceuticals (0.67)


TJX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TJX  TJX Companies (0.66)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (0.64)


CIEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIEN  CIENA (0.64)


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GRPN



SOXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOXX  BTC iShares PHLX Semicond (-0.0)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.0)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.0)


YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)


GPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPN  Global Payments (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GRPN



MOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOS  Mosaic (-0.58)


RGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGR  Sturm, Ruger & Co. (-0.59)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.6)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (-0.61)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.62)


GRPN News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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