GSK Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FDA approvals and strategic partnerships position GSK for growth in pharmaceuticals and vaccines, supported by higher call option volumes.




Bearish Case: Backwardation and historical volatility signal market uncertainty, with legal issues and competitive pressures possibly hindering recovery.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth via strategic initiatives: 35% chance.
  • Continued sideways trading: 40% chance.
  • Decline from competitive pressures: 25% chance.



April 16, 2025


Glaxosmithkline Forecast

GSK        Glaxosmithkline











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GSK



XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (0.84)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.81)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (0.79)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.78)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GSK



PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.0)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.02)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.02)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.02)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GSK



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.8)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (-0.81)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.82)


SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (-0.83)


LITE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LITE  Lumentum (-0.83)









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