GT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Goodyear's strategic partnerships and divestitures could stabilize revenue, while new technology adoption enhances operational efficiency, possibly leading to upward price momentum.




Bearish Case: Persistent downward trends, high debt, and competitive pressures may exacerbate price declines, especially as heightened implied volatility signals potential instability.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Short-term stagnation (40%): Volatility remains high, limiting movements.

2. Price drop (35%): Debt and competition drive declines.

3. Moderate rebound (25%): Strategic realignments lead to slight recovery.




Trading Oracle: Exploit GT's flat volatility term structure using a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying $10.00 calls and selling $11.00 calls, leveraging potential recovery amid earnings season. This aligns with Helium's forecasts showing potential for upside volatility.



March 12, 2025


Goodyear Tire & Rubber Forecast

GT        Goodyear Tire & Rubber











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