GVA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Granite Construction's strategic projects and strong market sentiment in Southern Nevada enhance its growth potential. Historical momentum and positive infrastructure spending support bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and historical mean reversion hint at risk of retracement. Economic uncertainties and skepticism in investor sentiment indicate potential downward pressures.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Sustained above $90 (40%);

2) Pullback to $85 (30%);

3) Breakout above $100 (20%);

4) Decline below $80 amid economic slump (10%).




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June 27, 2025


Granite Construction Forecast

GVA        Granite Construction











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