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GVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The new border wall contract enhances GVA's revenue prospects, coupled with historically resilient returns and moderate volatility declines, indicating potential growth.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and high put trading volume suggest market uncertainty. The construction industry faces risks such as delays and cost overruns, possibly affecting GVA's stability.

Potential Outcomes: Continued growth with new contracts: 40%
Stagnation amid volatility issues: 30%
Negative impact from economic slowdown: 30%

April 18, 2025

Granite Construction Forecast

GVA Granite Construction

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with GVA

MTB M & T (0.96)

NOW ServiceNow (0.95)

MSI Motorola (0.95)

PFGC Performance Food (0.94)

UPST Upstart (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GVA

ZIM Zim Integrated Shipping Services (0.01)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.02)

ENVX Enovix (-0.02)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)

INTU Intuit (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GVA

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.82)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.83)

WU Western Union (-0.84)

DG Dollar General (-0.89)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.91)

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