GVA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The new border wall contract enhances GVA's revenue prospects, coupled with historically resilient returns and moderate volatility declines, indicating potential growth.




Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and high put trading volume suggest market uncertainty. The construction industry faces risks such as delays and cost overruns, possibly affecting GVA's stability.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth with new contracts: 40%
  • Stagnation amid volatility issues: 30%
  • Negative impact from economic slowdown: 30%



April 18, 2025


Granite Construction Forecast

GVA        Granite Construction











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GVA



COLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COLB  Columbia Banking System (0.96)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.96)


MSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSI  Motorola (0.95)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.95)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GVA



TRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRI  Thomson-Reuters (-0.0)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.02)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.02)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.02)


CUBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CUBE  CubeSmart (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GVA



STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.82)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.83)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.83)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.84)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.89)









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