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HCSG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HCSG's recent mean-reverting price action and potential positive regulatory changes provide a recovery outlook, supported by increased call option volume.

Bearish Case: The high implied volatility and ongoing regulatory challenges suggest potential downside risks, with recent prices showing resistance and substantial historical loss likelihood.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory boost improves stock (30%).

2. Continued operational challenges (40%).

3. New market volatility (30%). Results were compiled with option volume and recent returns analysis.

Trading Oracle: Leverage a long debit spread (e.g., $12.50-$15) for June 2025. Capitalize on the current volatility surface and mean-reverting nature. Favor bullish bias and high reward:risk.

December 27, 2024

Healthcare Services Group Forecast

HCSG Healthcare Services Group

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with HCSG

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VTRS Viatris (0.53)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCSG

WW WW International (0.0)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.0)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.01)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCSG

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.39)

WEAT Teucrium Wheat (-0.4)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.4)

OLED Universal Display (-0.43)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.43)

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