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HCSG Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HCSG may benefit from a mean-reverting price pattern and regulatory improvements, potentially driving growth. Positive sentiment from recent performance and strategic partnerships adds to the bullish outlook.



Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and high operational costs may continue to pressure HCSG's margins. Historical return graphs suggest a high likelihood of lower returns over short holding periods, indicating persistent volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Regulatory relief boosts HCSG: 30%
  • Continued operational challenges and costs: 40%
  • Volatility creates trading opportunities: 30%



Trading Oracle: Adopt a long debit spread targeting $12.50 and $15 strikes, leveraging HCSG's mean-reverting behavior and high implied volatility. Favor a bullish position over a 6-month period to capitalize on potential upside while managing downside risk effectively.


January 30, 2025


Healthcare Services Group Forecast

HCSG        Healthcare Services Group

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCSG


SAIA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAIA  Saia (0.72)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (0.7)


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (0.68)


NVST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVST  Envista (0.65)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCSG


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.0)


ON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ON  ON Semiconductor (-0.0)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.0)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (0.0)


HSBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSBC  HSBC (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCSG


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.57)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.57)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.57)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.61)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.61)







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