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HEI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: HEI's recent performance reflects robust growth in the aerospace sector, supported by strategic acquisitions. High implied volatility suggests heightened investor interest, indicating potential upside as market sentiment turns positive with strong guidance for Q4 2024 earnings.



Bearish Case: Current market conditions show high implied volatility and a predominance of bearish trades, indicating a risk of price corrections. Concerns over valuation, propelled by ongoing insider selling, could lead to market pullbacks, especially if macroeconomic conditions sour.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% - Continued aerospace momentum boosts HEI to $260.
  • 25% - Stagnation around $240 due to macro uncertainties.
  • 15% - Downturn leads HEI to $220 as insiders sell off.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish call credit spread; sell HEI 250C and buy HEI 260C. This position fits the current sentiment and implied volatility trends, maximizing profits if volatility remains high while minimizing risks as earnings unfold. Opting for this strategy offers an appealing risk-reward profile with a high probability of profit over the next month.


December 21, 2024


Heico Forecast

HEI        Heico

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TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HEI


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (-0.01)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (-0.01)


JOBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOBY  Joby Aviation (-0.01)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (0.02)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HEI


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.93)


EDIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDIT  Editas Medicine (-0.94)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.95)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.96)







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