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HELE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Helen of Troy's potential for innovation and strategic alignments in the beauty sector may drive significant recovery and growth, leveraging its brand strength and market positioning.

Bearish Case: HELE faces ongoing operational challenges, high debt, and volatile market conditions, compounded by declining investor confidence, raising the risk of further price deterioration.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance: Stabilization and slow recovery as new strategies take effect.
50% chance: Continued operational struggles leading to further declines around 15%.
20% chance: Significant market turnaround spurred by successful new product launches.

Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility:
Link to Strategy
Taking advantage of high implied volatility, focus on shorting volatility with an edge in probability and potential for price stabilization. High tail risks justify the strategy.

April 30, 2025

Helen of Troy Forecast

HELE Helen of Troy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HELE

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LYFT Lyft (0.83)

AA Alcoa (0.81)

ANET Arista Networks (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HELE

AIQ Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (-0.0)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (-0.01)

WDAY Workday (0.01)

PNC PNC Financial Services (-0.01)

MTZ Mastec (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HELE

OUNZ VanEck Merk Gold (-0.57)

SNY Sanofi (-0.6)

AGI Alamos Gold (-0.66)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.67)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.67)

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